Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.981712 1.120733 1.272207 1.449481 1.651260 1.873788 2.137849
2025-02-23 0.743433 0.927027 1.144942 1.422595 1.766992 2.180264 2.714159
2025-03-02 0.615204 0.815887 1.068735 1.410562 1.860710 2.433541 3.218594
2025-03-09 0.532690 0.743030 1.021312 1.416215 1.962336 2.691426 3.740009
2025-03-16 0.470096 0.685123 0.981934 1.421246 2.055124 2.937284 4.260181
2025-03-23 0.422925 0.641096 0.953913 1.434714 2.155323 3.196166 4.816497
2025-03-30 0.372635 0.585609 0.901802 1.404889 2.185608 3.352305 5.231798
2025-04-06 0.330688 0.537379 0.854324 1.375042 2.209617 3.496736 5.637012
2025-04-13 0.291416 0.488679 0.800483 1.328404 2.200514 3.585849 5.958912
2025-04-20 0.282432 0.487722 0.821531 1.402807 2.390548 4.003381 6.843740
2025-04-27 0.272380 0.483664 0.836585 1.467753 2.569397 4.415842 7.754192
2025-05-04 0.261708 0.477256 0.846658 1.524336 2.737777 4.822916 8.688456
2025-05-11 0.246089 0.460991 0.838939 1.550322 2.857344 5.160366 9.538920
2025-05-18 0.223751 0.430336 0.802994 1.522297 2.877647 5.325261 10.095152
2025-05-25 0.206064 0.406476 0.776914 1.509413 2.923461 5.537996 10.755380
2025-06-01 0.192724 0.389518 0.761878 1.515460 3.004421 5.820454 11.569179
2025-06-08 0.180582 0.373667 0.747372 1.520841 3.083831 6.105214 12.410190
2025-06-15 0.170578 0.361100 0.738011 1.535246 3.181680 6.432378 13.361589
2025-06-22 0.156523 0.338819 0.707269 1.503346 3.182726 6.567719 13.934646
2025-06-29 0.143808 0.318128 0.677885 1.471422 3.180442 6.695122 14.500387
2025-07-06 0.130596 0.295104 0.641609 1.421539 3.135575 6.730513 14.873193
2025-07-13 0.130023 0.299809 0.664443 1.501119 3.375577 7.381073 16.625521
2025-07-20 0.128426 0.302044 0.682054 1.570583 3.599006 8.013357 18.390010